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Tuesday, 15 March 2011

Chelts Preview


I had such a good Saturday morning.. Having watched some of the Betfair preview vids and leafed through my Chelts guide, here are a few musings in advance of this week’s National Hunt festival o’ with space below for comments and Thurs / Fri left for a later instalment!

Monday
Looking.

Tuesday
Nov Hurd – LAY Cue Card / BACK Sam Winner TBP (might back this on Paddy Power at 16/1 rather than BF as they are refunding all losing bets if CC wins..)
Cha Hurd – arguably the race of the festival – so many contenders .. well i wrote that before Binocular was withdrawn L difficult to call but without Binoc I’m going to leave Menorah and H-Fly alone and BACK Peddlar’s and Oscar Whiskey E/W
Arkle – Medermit is the favourite and Ghizao (with Timmy Murphy on board) / Starluck provide temptation but I will be BACKing Rock Noir (who JP Mc has backed) and Dan Breen (Pipe) TBP and Blazing Tempo is available today at 55s  / 15s so I’ve got him TBP too

Wednesday
Nat Hunt Chase – Chicago Grey TBP – he was runner-up to Time for Rupert last time I backed TFR and likes Cheltenham
RSA – BACK TFR  – can’t see anyone else beating him – Timeform ratings have him a long way clear and I have just put £12 on AiteenThirtyThree TBP at just shy of 3s to keep me entertained with the rest of the field
Champ Chase – for some reason this is suspended on BF at the moment,

Thurs
World Hurdle – Big Buck’s .. backing this horse just for the apostrophe! ;) in all seriousness this horse is astonishing! although I know Paolo has got inv with Grands Crus, where there may be some value, but as drip will tell you, the real value is in backing the winner, and that winner is BB.

Fri
Triumph Hurd – backed Grandouet before he won the warm-up easily at Ascot and have decided to PIBE on laying off depending on how the first three days of the festival go..
Gold Cup – had back luck backing Time for Rupert on the AP market a while ago so lost before I even started on this! PIBE hard as the week goes on but would love to see Kauto Star bounce back and put Long Run back in his box

Specials
LAY Ruby Festival Jockey – the guy has just come back from having an ex-fix on his leg for months, he fell a couple of weeks back, badly, and his price is short. LAY.

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